[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON SEP 23 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.8N  50.7W      30  1  X  X 31   34.0N  51.2W      16  3  2  X 21
34.0N  50.5W      16  3  2  X 21   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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