HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
37.2N  48.2W      18  1  X  X 19   44.2N  39.2W       X  2  7  X  9
40.1N  44.3W       1 10  2  X 13   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  1  2  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN