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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU SEP 26 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT SUN SEP 29 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
35.5N 87.5W 31 2 X X 33 HYANNIS MA X X 2 X 2
39.0N 84.0W X 19 3 X 22 BOSTON MA X X 2 X 2
44.0N 76.5W X X 10 X 10 PORTLAND ME X X 2 X 2
NORFOLK VA X X 3 X 3 PENSACOLA FL 3 X X X 3
OCEAN CITY MD X X 4 X 4 MOBILE AL 36 X X X 36
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 5 X 5 GULFPORT MS 83 X X X 83
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 5 X 5 BURAS LA 99 X X X 99
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 3 X 3 NEW ORLEANS LA 99 X X X 99
PROVIDENCE RI X X 3 X 3 GULF 28N 89W 2 X X X 2
NANTUCKET MA X X 2 X 2 GULF 28N 91W 4 X X X 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM FRI TO 1PM FRI
C FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
D FROM 1AM SAT TO 1AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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