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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT WED SEP 25 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SAT SEP 28 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.2N 88.8W 35 2 X X 37 YARMOUTH NS X X X 7 7
37.0N 86.0W X 18 5 X 23 HALIFAX NS X X X 6 6
41.5N 78.0W X X 8 4 12 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 4 4
SAVANNAH GA X 1 1 X 2 SYDNEY NS X X X 6 6
CHARLESTON SC X X 2 X 2 EDDY POINT NS X X X 6 6
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 2 X 2 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 6 6
WILMINGTON NC X X 2 X 2 BURGEO NFLD X X X 6 6
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 2 X 2 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 2 X 2 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 3 3
NORFOLK VA X X 4 1 5 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 2 2
OCEAN CITY MD X X 4 3 7 ST MARKS FL X 2 X X 2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 4 4 8 APALACHICOLA FL 1 1 X X 2
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 6 8 PANAMA CITY FL 3 2 X X 5
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 6 7 PENSACOLA FL 27 1 X X 28
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 7 7 MOBILE AL 50 X X X 50
NANTUCKET MA X X X 6 6 GULFPORT MS 63 X X X 63
HYANNIS MA X X X 7 7 BURAS LA 79 X X X 79
BOSTON MA X X X 8 8 NEW ORLEANS LA 66 X X X 66
PORTLAND ME X X X 8 8 NEW IBERIA LA 10 X X X 10
BAR HARBOR ME X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 87W 7 X X X 7
EASTPORT ME X X X 8 8 GULF 28N 89W 80 X X X 80
ST JOHN NB X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 91W 99 X X X 99
MONCTON NB X X X 8 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM THU TO 7AM FRI
C FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI
D FROM 7PM FRI TO 7PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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