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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT WED SEP 25 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SAT SEP 28 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.0N 90.2W 43 X X X 43 YARMOUTH NS X X X 6 6
33.0N 89.3W 3 21 3 X 27 HALIFAX NS X X X 5 5
37.3N 85.3W X X 13 5 18 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 3 3
SAVANNAH GA X X 2 1 3 SYDNEY NS X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC X X 2 1 3 EDDY POINT NS X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 2 3 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 2 3 ST MARKS FL X 1 2 X 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 3 3 APALACHICOLA FL X 2 1 X 3
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3 PANAMA CITY FL X 4 2 X 6
NORFOLK VA X X X 6 6 PENSACOLA FL 8 10 1 X 19
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 7 7 MOBILE AL 20 7 X X 27
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 8 8 GULFPORT MS 32 2 X X 34
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 8 8 BURAS LA 45 X X X 45
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 7 7 NEW ORLEANS LA 43 X X X 43
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 8 8 NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X X 34
NANTUCKET MA X X X 7 7 PORT ARTHUR TX 6 6 X X 12
HYANNIS MA X X X 7 7 GALVESTON TX 1 2 X X 3
BOSTON MA X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 85W X 1 1 X 2
PORTLAND ME X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 87W 5 5 1 X 11
BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 89W 43 X X X 43
EASTPORT ME X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 91W 62 X X X 62
ST JOHN NB X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 93W 18 X X X 18
MONCTON NB X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM THU TO 7PM THU
C FROM 7PM THU TO 7AM FRI
D FROM 7AM FRI TO 7AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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