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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT FRI SEP 27 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.2N 90.2W 34 X X X 34 CEDAR KEY FL X X 2 1 3
29.7N 90.2W 9 13 1 X 23 ST MARKS FL X 1 4 2 7
33.0N 89.0W X 3 13 3 19 APALACHICOLA FL X 2 6 1 9
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 2 3 PANAMA CITY FL X 3 7 2 12
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 4 5 PENSACOLA FL X 9 7 X 16
CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5 MOBILE AL 1 12 5 1 19
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 5 5 GULFPORT MS 3 14 3 X 20
WILMINGTON NC X X X 5 5 BURAS LA 12 10 1 X 23
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 4 4 NEW ORLEANS LA 7 14 1 X 22
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 4 4 NEW IBERIA LA 4 15 1 X 20
NORFOLK VA X X X 6 6 PORT ARTHUR TX 1 8 2 1 12
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 6 6 GALVESTON TX X 5 2 X 7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 6 6 FREEPORT TX X 2 1 X 3
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 85W X 3 4 1 8
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W 3 10 2 X 15
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W 25 1 1 X 27
NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W 24 2 1 X 27
HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W 7 7 X X 14
BOSTON MA X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X 2 1 X 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM WED TO 7AM THU
C FROM 7AM THU TO 7PM THU
D FROM 7PM THU TO 7PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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