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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT FRI SEP 27 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.6N  90.4W      51  X  X  X 51   MOBILE AL          X  3 14  3 20
27.9N  90.5W      16 19  X  1 36   GULFPORT MS        X  8 14  1 23
30.6N  90.1W       X 12 13  1 26   BURAS LA           1 21  6  X 28
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     X 19  9  X 28
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  4  4   NEW IBERIA LA      X 18  8  1 27
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  5  5   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  4  9  1 14
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4   GALVESTON TX       X  2  4  1  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  3  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  3  X  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  6  7
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  2  8  3 13
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 89W       8 18  1  X 27
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 91W      13 21  1  X 35
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  7  8   GULF 28N 93W       2 16  2  X 20
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  3  7 10   GULF 28N 95W       X  1  2  X  3
PENSACOLA FL       X  1  9  6 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
C FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
D FROM  1PM THU TO  1PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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