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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT FRI SEP 27 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.1N  91.0W      42  X  1  X 43   BURAS LA           X  8 10  2 20
27.3N  91.2W       5 23  1  X 29   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  7 13  1 21
29.8N  91.0W       X 12 10  1 23   NEW IBERIA LA      X 12 10  1 23
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  8  9  1 18
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3   GALVESTON TX       X  6  7  2 15
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  3  3   FREEPORT TX        X  4  6  1 11
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  1  3  1  5
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  5  6
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  5  5 11
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 89W       X 13  5  1 19
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  6  7   GULF 28N 91W       1 24  1  1 27
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  8  9   GULF 28N 93W       1 21  1  1 24
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  5  8 13   GULF 28N 95W       X  7  4  1 12
MOBILE AL          X  1  9  5 15   GULF 27N 96W       X  2  2  1  5
GULFPORT MS        X  2 12  4 18
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
C FROM  7PM WED TO  7AM THU
D FROM  7AM THU TO  7AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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