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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT FRI SEP 27 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.0N  91.0W      42  X  X  X 42   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  3 13  3 19
26.2N  91.5W      10 19  1  X 30   GALVESTON TX       X  3 11  3 17
28.5N  91.5W       X 15  8  1 24   FREEPORT TX        X  2 10  3 15
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  1  6  4 11
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  2  4  6
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  4  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  2  1  3
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  5  5   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  5  5
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  7  7   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  3  7 10
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  2  9 11   GULF 28N 89W       X  7  7  3 17
MOBILE AL          X  X  5  9 14   GULF 28N 91W       X 18  5  1 24
GULFPORT MS        X  X  9  7 16   GULF 28N 93W       X 18  6  1 25
BURAS LA           X  3 11  4 18   GULF 28N 95W       X  6  9  2 17
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  2 13  4 19   GULF 27N 96W       X  3  6  2 11
NEW IBERIA LA      X  4 15  2 21   GULF 25N 96W       X  3  2  2  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
C FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
D FROM  1AM THU TO  1AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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