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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON SEP 23 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT THU SEP 26 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.5N 90.7W 51 X X X 51 PORT ARTHUR TX X 2 12 4 18
25.4N 91.2W 21 12 1 X 34 GALVESTON TX X 2 10 4 16
27.5N 91.5W 1 21 4 1 27 FREEPORT TX X 1 8 5 14
MMMD 210N 897W 99 X X X 99 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 4 6 10
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 4 5
ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 1 2 3
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 85W X X X 5 5
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 7 7 GULF 29N 87W X X 2 8 10
PENSACOLA FL X X 1 10 11 GULF 28N 89W X 5 9 3 17
MOBILE AL X X 3 10 13 GULF 28N 91W X 17 7 1 25
GULFPORT MS X X 7 8 15 GULF 28N 93W X 15 7 2 24
BURAS LA X 2 11 5 18 GULF 28N 95W X 3 9 3 15
NEW ORLEANS LA X 2 12 5 19 GULF 27N 96W X 1 5 3 9
NEW IBERIA LA X 3 14 4 21 GULF 25N 96W X X 3 2 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED
C FROM 7AM WED TO 7PM WED
D FROM 7PM WED TO 7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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