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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON SEP 23 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT THU SEP 26 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.3N  90.8W      40  X  X  X 40   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  4  9 13
23.6N  91.3W      22  7  1  X 30   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  4  9 13
25.1N  91.8W       3 19  2  1 25   GALVESTON TX       X  X  5  9 14
MMCZ 205N 869W     2  1  1  1  5   FREEPORT TX        X  X  5  8 13
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  4  4   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  4  8 12
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  2  7  9
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  2  6  8
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  3  3
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  3  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  7  7
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  6  6 12
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 91W       X  2 10  5 17
MOBILE AL          X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 93W       X  2 11  5 18
GULFPORT MS        X  X  1  8  9   GULF 28N 95W       X  1  8  6 15
BURAS LA           X  X  3  8 11   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  7  6 13
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  2  9 11   GULF 25N 96W       X  1  5  5 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
C FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
D FROM  1PM WED TO  1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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