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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON SEP 23 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT THU SEP 26 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.1N  90.7W      48  X  X  X 48   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  8  8
22.0N  91.4W      26  3  1  X 30   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  8  8
23.0N  92.0W       9 14  2  1 26   GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  8  9
MMCZ 205N 869W     1  2  1  1  5   FREEPORT TX        X  X  1  8  9
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  1  7  8   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  1  8  9
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  1  6  7   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  1  7  8
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  1  5  6   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  2  8 10
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  1  3  4   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
MMFR 185N 926W     4  3  1  1  9   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  4  4
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  1  8  9
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  3  9 12
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  4  9 13
MOBILE AL          X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  2 10 12
GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  5  5   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  3  9 12
BURAS LA           X  X  X  7  7   GULF 25N 96W       X  1  6  7 14
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
C FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
D FROM  7AM WED TO  7AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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