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HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON SEP 23 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT THU SEP 26 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.2N  91.7W      45  X  X  X 45   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  7  7
22.2N  92.2W      28  1  1  X 30   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  7  7
23.1N  92.6W      11 11  1  2 25   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  8  8
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  2  8 10   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  9  9
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  3  7 10   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  9  9
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  4  5  9   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  8  8
MMVR 192N 961W     X  2  2  3  7   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  1 10 11
MMFR 185N 926W    11  1  X  X 12   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  1  7  8
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  2  9 11
MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  2 10 12
GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  1 10 11
BURAS LA           X  X  X  6  6   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  1 11 12
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  6  6   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  6  8 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
C FROM  1PM TUE TO  1AM WED
D FROM  1AM WED TO  1AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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