HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT WED SEP 25 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.4N  91.3W      50  X  X  X 50   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  4  4
21.5N  92.0W      35  1  X  X 36   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  5  5
22.3N  92.7W      17  5  2  1 25   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  5  5
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  6  6
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  2  3   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  7  7
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  2  8 10   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  7  7
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  4  7 11   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  7  7
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  5  6 11   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  1  9 10
MMVR 192N 961W     X  2  4  4 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
MMFR 185N 926W     4  4  2  1 11   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  6  6
MMMD 210N 897W    99  X  X  X 99   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  7  8
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  8  9
MOBILE AL          X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  9  9
GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  1  9 10
BURAS LA           X  X  X  5  5   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  5  9 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
C FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
D FROM  1PM TUE TO  1PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN