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HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT SEP 21 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.9N  88.0W      51  X  X  X 51   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
21.9N  89.2W      27  2  X  1 30   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
22.0N  90.3W      12 11  2  1 26   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W    99  X  X  X 99   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W    27  X  1  X 28   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  1  3  4   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  3  3
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  7  7   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  6  6
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  8  8   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  1  7  8   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  1  7  8   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  6  6
MMFR 185N 926W     X  1  3  6 10   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  6  6
MMMD 210N 897W    20  3  1  1 25   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  5  5
BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  6  6
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  9 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
C FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
D FROM  1PM MON TO  1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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