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HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.9N  88.0W      51  X  X  X 51   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
21.9N  89.2W      28  1  X  1 30   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
22.0N  90.5W       7 15  2  1 25   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W    99  X  X  X 99   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W    28  X  X  X 28   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  3  3
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  2  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  3  3
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  7  7   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  6  6
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  8  8   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  1  7  8   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  5  5
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  1  7  8   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  6  6
MMFR 185N 926W     X  1  3  5  9   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  6  6
MMMD 210N 897W    20  3  1  1 25   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  5  5
BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  6  6
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  8  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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