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HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.3N  88.0W      46  X  X  X 46   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
22.2N  89.1W      32  1  X  1 34   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  2  2
21.8N  90.3W      16  6  2  1 25   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W    99  X  X  X 99   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W    12  2  1  1 16   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  4  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  4  4
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  4  4
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  4  4
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  1  6  7   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  3  3
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  1  6  7   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  4  4
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  2  7  9   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  1  7  8
MMMD 210N 897W    17  3  2  1 23
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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