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HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT MON SEP 23 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
23.0N 87.0W 41 X X X 41 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
22.5N 88.0W 26 2 X 1 29 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4
22.5N 89.0W 17 6 2 1 26 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 1 1 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W 2 1 X 2 5 GALVESTON TX X X X 3 3
MUAN 219N 850W 99 X X X 99 FREEPORT TX X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W 1 7 4 3 15 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 3 3
MZBZ 175N 883W X X 1 4 5 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 2 2
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 3 3 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 3 3
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W X X 2 7 9
MMFR 185N 926W X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 91W X X 3 6 9
MMMD 210N 897W 1 8 5 4 18 GULF 28N 93W X X 2 6 8
KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X X 5 5
PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 27N 96W X X X 5 5
MOBILE AL X X X 2 2 GULF 25N 96W X X 1 6 7
GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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