ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.5N 85.5W 51 X X X 51 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3
22.8N 86.4W 30 1 X 1 32 VENICE FL X X X 3 3
23.0N 87.5W 16 6 2 1 25 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 2 3 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
MUSN 216N 826W 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W 19 X 1 X 20 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W 66 X X X 66 BURAS LA X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W 9 3 1 3 16 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
MZBZ 175N 883W X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 2 2 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 6 7
MMFR 185N 926W X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 5 6
MMMD 210N 897W X 4 4 6 14 GULF 28N 93W X X X 5 5
MARATHON FL X 1 X 3 4 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 GULF 27N 96W X X X 3 3
KEY WEST FL 1 1 2 2 6 GULF 25N 96W X X X 4 4
MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 3 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
Webmaster
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}