ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.7N 85.2W 43 X X X 43 TAMPA FL X X X 4 4
23.0N 86.0W 32 X 1 X 33 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4
23.2N 86.8W 23 2 2 1 28 ST MARKS FL X X X 3 3
MWCG 193N 814W X X 1 1 2 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 5 5
MUCF 221N 805W X 1 1 2 4 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 5 5
MUSN 216N 826W 99 X X X 99 PENSACOLA FL X X X 4 4
MUHA 230N 824W 24 1 X X 25 MOBILE AL X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W 48 X X X 48 GULFPORT MS X X X 5 5
MMCZ 205N 869W 2 3 4 5 14 BURAS LA X X 1 6 7
MZBZ 175N 883W X X X 3 3 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 5 5
MMFR 185N 926W X X X 2 2 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 4 4
MMMD 210N 897W X 1 4 7 12 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X 1 1 3 5 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
MIAMI FL X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 5 6
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X 2 6 8
FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X 5 7 12
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X 3 7 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 5 6
KEY WEST FL 1 2 2 3 8 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3
MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 27N 96W X X X 2 2
FT MYERS FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 25N 96W X X X 2 2
VENICE FL X X 1 5 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN
Webmaster
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}