ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.2N 83.1W 50 X X X 50 KEY WEST FL 13 6 1 1 21
23.1N 84.4W 27 5 X X 32 MARCO ISLAND FL X 6 4 4 14
23.5N 85.0W 11 15 1 1 28 FT MYERS FL X 3 4 5 12
MWCG 193N 814W 99 X X X 99 VENICE FL X 2 4 6 12
MUCF 221N 805W 41 X X X 41 TAMPA FL X X 2 7 9
MUSN 216N 826W 62 X X X 62 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 6 6
MUHA 230N 824W 43 1 X X 44 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W 22 2 1 X 25 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 6 6
MMCZ 205N 869W X 2 1 4 7 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 5 5
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2 PENSACOLA FL X X X 4 4
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 1 2 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 3 4 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 3 4 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
MARATHON FL 7 6 2 2 17 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3
MIAMI FL X 3 3 4 10 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 7 8
W PALM BEACH FL X 1 2 4 7 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 7 8
FT PIERCE FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 8 9
COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 91W X X X 5 5
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
Webmaster
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}