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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 18 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.0N 82.0W 44 X X X 44 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2
23.0N 83.5W 21 6 1 X 28 KEY WEST FL 9 11 1 2 23
23.5N 84.5W 6 16 1 1 24 MARCO ISLAND FL X 7 4 4 15
MWCG 193N 814W 10 X 1 X 11 FT MYERS FL X 3 5 5 13
MUCM 214N 779W 10 1 X X 11 VENICE FL X 2 5 6 13
MUCF 221N 805W 50 X X X 50 TAMPA FL X X 3 6 9
MUSN 216N 826W 34 X X 1 35 CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 5 6
MUHA 230N 824W 33 1 X X 34 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W 5 9 1 2 17 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 6 6
MMCZ 205N 869W X 1 1 4 6 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 5 5
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 1 2 4 PENSACOLA FL X X X 4 4
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 1 1 3 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 3 5 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 4 4 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
MARATHON FL 6 10 2 1 19 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3
MIAMI FL X 5 3 4 12 GULF 29N 85W X X 1 7 8
W PALM BEACH FL X 1 3 4 8 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 7 8
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 5 7 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 8 9
COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 91W X X X 5 5
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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