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TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 18 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.9N 80.8W 54 X X X 54 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 4 4
21.1N 82.1W 25 12 X 1 38 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3
22.5N 83.5W X 24 7 X 31 KEY WEST FL X 8 11 3 22
MKJP 179N 768W 2 X X X 2 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 8 6 15
MKJS 185N 779W 99 X X X 99 FT MYERS FL X X 6 7 13
MWCG 193N 814W 42 X X X 42 VENICE FL X X 4 9 13
MUCM 214N 779W 4 2 X 1 7 TAMPA FL X X 1 9 10
MUCF 221N 805W 18 9 1 X 28 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 8 8
MUSN 216N 826W 10 24 X 1 35 ST MARKS FL X X X 6 6
MUHA 230N 824W 1 25 4 1 31 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 7 7
MUAN 219N 850W X 9 12 3 24 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 6 6
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 3 8 11 PENSACOLA FL X X X 4 4
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 3 3 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X 5 9 3 17 BURAS LA X X X 3 3
MIAMI FL X X 4 5 9 GULF 29N 85W X X X 10 10
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 6 7 GULF 29N 87W X X X 8 8
FT PIERCE FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 89W X X X 6 6
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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