ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 18 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.2N 80.3W 52 X X X 52 W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 4 5
20.5N 81.7W 21 15 X X 36 FT PIERCE FL X X X 4 4
21.6N 82.9W 1 26 2 X 29 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MKJP 179N 768W 29 X X X 29 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W 57 X X 1 58 KEY WEST FL X 3 10 4 17
MWCG 193N 814W 37 1 X X 38 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 4 8 12
MUCM 214N 779W 3 4 X 1 8 FT MYERS FL X X 2 8 10
MUCF 221N 805W 4 18 1 1 24 VENICE FL X X 1 9 10
MUSN 216N 826W 2 26 2 X 30 TAMPA FL X X X 7 7
MUHA 230N 824W X 16 7 2 25 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W X 7 11 4 22 ST MARKS FL X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 5 7 12 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 4 4
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 85W X X X 6 6
MARATHON FL X 2 7 5 14 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
MIAMI FL X X 2 6 8 GULF 28N 89W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
C FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
D FROM 2AM FRI TO 2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
Webmaster
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}