ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.9N 80.0W 55 X X X 55 FT PIERCE FL X X X 5 5
20.0N 81.0W 30 10 X X 40 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 4 4
21.5N 82.5W X 23 10 1 34 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 3 3
MKJP 179N 768W 48 X X X 48 JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W 56 X X X 56 KEY WEST FL X 1 14 4 19
MWCG 193N 814W 31 6 X X 37 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 4 10 14
MUCM 214N 779W 4 4 1 1 10 FT MYERS FL X X 2 10 12
MUCF 221N 805W 1 21 4 1 27 VENICE FL X X 1 11 12
MUSN 216N 826W X 21 12 X 33 TAMPA FL X X X 9 9
MUHA 230N 824W X 8 19 2 29 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 6 6
MUAN 219N 850W X 1 16 5 22 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 3 8 11 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 5 5
MHNJ 165N 859W X X X 2 2 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 5 5
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 3 3 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 7 7
MARATHON FL X 1 10 5 16 GULF 29N 87W X X X 6 6
MIAMI FL X X 3 7 10 GULF 28N 89W X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 5 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Webmaster
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}