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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 17 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT FRI SEP 20 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.6N 80.0W 45 X X X 45 DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
18.7N 81.4W 20 11 X 1 32 KEY WEST FL X X 5 10 15
20.0N 83.0W X 20 7 1 28 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 10 11
MKJP 179N 768W 21 X 1 X 22 FT MYERS FL X X X 10 10
MKJS 185N 779W 28 X X X 28 VENICE FL X X X 10 10
MWCG 193N 814W 12 18 1 X 31 TAMPA FL X X X 7 7
MUCM 214N 779W X 4 2 2 8 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 5 5
MUCF 221N 805W X 8 8 3 19 ST MARKS FL X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X 11 13 2 26 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 5 5
MUHA 230N 824W X 2 14 5 21 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 5 5
MUAN 219N 850W X 1 16 5 22 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W X X 6 6 12 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MHNJ 165N 859W X X 1 1 2 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X X X 3 3
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 2 2 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X X 3 10 13 GULF 29N 85W X X X 8 8
MIAMI FL X X X 7 7 GULF 29N 87W X X X 8 8
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 89W X X X 7 7
FT PIERCE FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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