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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 15 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED SEP 18 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
14.5N  73.7W      49  1  X  X 50   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  8  8
16.2N  76.5W       1 35  X  X 36   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  3  3
17.5N  78.5W       X 15 12  1 28   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  2  2
SKPG 125N 717W    45  X  X  X 45   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  2  2
TNCC 122N 690W    77  X  X  X 77   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3
MDCB 176N 714W     2  1  X  X  3   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  6  6
MTPP 186N 724W     X  3  X  1  4   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  3  3
MTCA 183N 738W     X 13  1  X 14   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJP 179N 768W     X 25  4  1 30   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8
MKJS 185N 779W     X 12 14  1 27   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  5  5
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X 10 10 20   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  3  6  3 12   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  9  9
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  8  8 16   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  3 13 16   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1 14 15   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 13 13
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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