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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 15 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED SEP 18 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.4N  71.5W      48  2  X  X 50   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X 13 13
15.2N  74.6W       X 34  1  X 35   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 12 12
16.9N  77.1W       X  6 20  1 27   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  6  6
SKPG 125N 717W    39  1  X  X 40   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  5  5
TNCC 122N 690W    64  X  X  X 64   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  7  7
SVMG 110N 640W    99  X  X  X 99   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4
MDCB 176N 714W     X  8  1  1 10   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  2  2
MTPP 186N 724W     X  5  4  X  9   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  8  8
MTCA 183N 738W     X 11  7  1 19   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
MKJP 179N 768W     X  4 21  1 26   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X 21  3 24   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  8  8
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  2 15 17   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  1 11  3 15   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  5 11 16   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1 15 16
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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