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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 14 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST TUE SEP 17 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
12.0N  67.5W      50  1  X  X 51   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  2 16 18
13.5N  70.5W       1 33  1  X 35   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X 16 16
15.5N  73.0W       X  4 22  1 27   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  5  5
SKPG 125N 717W     X 20  4  X 24   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  2 16 18
TNCC 122N 690W    21 18  X  X 39   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X 12 12
SVMG 110N 640W    87  X  X  X 87   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  5  5
TTPP 106N 614W    99  X  X  X 99   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  2  2
TTPT 112N 608W    91  X  X  X 91   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  4  6 10
TGPY 120N 618W    31  X  X  X 31   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  1  5  6
MDSD 185N 697W     X  1  7  2 10   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  7  7
MDCB 176N 714W     X  2 17  2 21   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X 13  6 19   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  5  5
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X 12  9 21   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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