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TROPICAL STORM HANNA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT FRI SEP 13 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT MON SEP 16 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.0N 87.5W 47 1 X X 48 EASTPORT ME X X X 7 7
35.0N 83.5W X 22 2 X 24 ST JOHN NB X X X 6 6
37.5N 78.5W X 1 13 2 16 MONCTON NB X X X 5 5
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 1 X 2 YARMOUTH NS X X X 7 7
JACKSONVILLE FL X 3 3 X 6 HALIFAX NS X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA X 6 6 X 12 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC X 3 9 X 12 SYDNEY NS X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 2 10 1 13 EDDY POINT NS X X X 3 3
WILMINGTON NC X 1 10 2 13 CEDAR KEY FL X 1 1 X 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 9 3 12 ST MARKS FL 1 7 1 X 9
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 7 4 11 APALACHICOLA FL 2 6 X X 8
NORFOLK VA X X 9 5 14 PANAMA CITY FL 9 8 X X 17
OCEAN CITY MD X X 5 8 13 PENSACOLA FL 51 X X X 51
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 3 9 12 MOBILE AL 65 X X X 65
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 11 12 GULFPORT MS 70 X X X 70
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 11 11 BURAS LA 82 X X X 82
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 10 10 NEW ORLEANS LA 56 X X X 56
NANTUCKET MA X X X 10 10 NEW IBERIA LA 7 X X X 7
HYANNIS MA X X X 10 10 GULF 29N 85W 1 2 1 X 4
BOSTON MA X X X 10 10 GULF 29N 87W 30 1 X X 31
PORTLAND ME X X X 9 9 GULF 28N 89W 99 X X X 99
BAR HARBOR ME X X X 8 8 GULF 28N 91W 28 X X X 28
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM SAT TO 1AM SUN
C FROM 1AM SUN TO 1PM SUN
D FROM 1PM SUN TO 1PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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