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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 12 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.0N 88.0W 35 X X X 35 MARCO ISLAND FL X X 1 1 2
30.9N 86.9W 11 10 1 X 22 FT MYERS FL X X 2 1 3
32.8N 84.8W X 4 11 2 17 VENICE FL X 1 2 1 4
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 2 2 TAMPA FL X 1 4 2 7
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 1 2 CEDAR KEY FL X 3 5 2 10
FT PIERCE FL X X 1 3 4 ST MARKS FL X 8 6 1 15
COCOA BEACH FL X X 2 3 5 APALACHICOLA FL 3 10 2 1 16
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 4 4 8 PANAMA CITY FL 5 11 2 X 18
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 6 5 11 PENSACOLA FL 17 6 1 X 24
SAVANNAH GA X X 4 8 12 MOBILE AL 21 3 1 X 25
CHARLESTON SC X X 1 10 11 GULFPORT MS 23 1 X X 24
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 10 10 BURAS LA 23 1 X X 24
WILMINGTON NC X X X 9 9 NEW ORLEANS LA 15 2 X X 17
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 8 8 NEW IBERIA LA 2 2 1 X 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 6 6 GULF 29N 85W 4 9 2 X 15
NORFOLK VA X X X 7 7 GULF 29N 87W 25 1 X X 26
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 89W 37 X X X 37
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W 3 2 X X 5
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
C FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
D FROM 7PM SAT TO 7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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