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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 12 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SUN SEP 15 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.0N  87.0W      48  X  X  X 48   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
30.5N  86.5W      29  3  X  X 32   VENICE FL          X  X  1  2  3
32.5N  85.5W       3 15  6  1 25   TAMPA FL           X  X  2  3  5
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  2  2   CEDAR KEY FL       X  3  4  2  9
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3   ST MARKS FL        4  9  4  1 18
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  5  6   APALACHICOLA FL   15  5  2  X 22
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  3  7 10   PANAMA CITY FL    23  4  X  1 28
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  3  9 12   PENSACOLA FL      30  3  X  X 33
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1 10 11   MOBILE AL         19  6  X  1 26
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 10 10   GULFPORT MS       12  6  1  X 19
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  9  9   BURAS LA          12  3  1  X 16
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  8  8   NEW ORLEANS LA     2  5  2  1 10
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  6  6   GULF 29N 85W      16  4  1  X 21
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  7  7   GULF 29N 87W      48  X  X  X 48
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W      33  X  X  X 33
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 91W       1  1  X  X  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM FRI TO  1AM SAT
C FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
D FROM  1PM SAT TO  1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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