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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 11 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT SEP 14 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.5N 85.9W 51 X X X 51 MARCO ISLAND FL X 2 3 3 8
28.2N 85.6W 33 X 1 X 34 FT MYERS FL 1 2 3 4 10
29.0N 85.3W 21 2 X 1 24 VENICE FL 3 3 3 3 12
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 1 2 TAMPA FL 3 4 3 3 13
MUHA 230N 824W X 1 1 2 4 CEDAR KEY FL 5 4 3 3 15
MUAN 219N 850W X 1 1 2 4 ST MARKS FL 8 4 3 3 18
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 3 3 APALACHICOLA FL 14 3 2 2 21
MARATHON FL X 1 1 3 5 PANAMA CITY FL 13 4 2 1 20
MIAMI FL X X 1 4 5 PENSACOLA FL 6 6 3 3 18
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 4 5 MOBILE AL 2 6 4 3 15
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 4 6 GULFPORT MS 1 5 3 4 13
COCOA BEACH FL X 1 1 5 7 BURAS LA 1 4 3 3 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 1 3 5 9 NEW ORLEANS LA X 2 3 4 9
JACKSONVILLE FL X 2 2 6 10 NEW IBERIA LA X X 1 3 4
SAVANNAH GA X X 2 6 8 GULF 29N 85W 19 2 1 1 23
CHARLESTON SC X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 87W 17 2 2 1 22
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W 4 4 3 2 13
WILMINGTON NC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X 1 2 2 5
KEY WEST FL X 1 2 3 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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