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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 11 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT SEP 14 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
44.5N  61.2W      19  8  X  X 27   SABLE ISLAND NS   12 11  X  X 23
49.3N  56.0W       X 15  2  1 18   SYDNEY NS          8 17  X  X 25
52.5N  52.5W       X  3  8  3 14   EDDY POINT NS     15 11  X  X 26
NANTUCKET MA       2  X  X  X  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   3 19  X  X 22
EASTPORT ME        2  1  X  X  3   BURGEO NFLD        1 19  1  X 21
ST JOHN NB         5  1  X  X  6   ILE ST PIERRE      X 16  1  X 17
MONCTON NB         6  3  1  X 10   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  6  4  1 11
YARMOUTH NS       11  1  X  X 12   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  3  2  5
HALIFAX NS        21  3  X  1 25
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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