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TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP 13 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
39.9N  68.0W      18  8  X  X 26   BAR HARBOR ME      1  6  X  X  7
44.7N  60.5W       X 11  6  X 17   EASTPORT ME        X  8  1  X  9
50.0N  52.5W       X  X  8  4 12   ST JOHN NB         X 10  X  X 10
MOREHEAD CITY NC  10  X  X  X 10   MONCTON NB         X  9  1  X 10
CAPE HATTERAS NC  99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        1 14  X  X 15
NORFOLK VA        20  X  X  X 20   HALIFAX NS         X 15  2  X 17
OCEAN CITY MD     15  X  X  X 15   SABLE ISLAND NS    X 10  5  1 16
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   7  X  X  X  7   SYDNEY NS          X  9  7  1 17
NEW YORK CITY NY   4  X  X  X  4   EDDY POINT NS      X 12  5  X 17
MONTAUK POINT NY   9  1  X  X 10   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  6  9  X 15
PROVIDENCE RI      7  1  X  X  8   BURGEO NFLD        X  3 11  X 14
NANTUCKET MA      13  4  X  X 17   ILE ST PIERRE      X  2 10  1 13
HYANNIS MA        10  3  X  X 13   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  7  3 10
BOSTON MA          5  2  X  X  7   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  X  1  5  6
PORTLAND ME        2  2  X  X  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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