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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN SEP 08 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED SEP 11 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.0N  75.7W      66  X  X  X 66   OCEAN CITY MD      X  1  5  7 13
34.4N  76.0W      32  2  X  X 34   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  2  8 10
35.7N  74.9W       4 12  3  1 20   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  8  8
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  7  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  2  1  4   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
CHARLESTON SC      X  8  2  1 11   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    2 15  2  X 19   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC      9 15  1  X 25   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC  18 10  X  X 28   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC  10 12  1  1 24   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         X  7  6  3 16   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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