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SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 08 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED SEP 11 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.2N  74.2W      44  X  X  X 44   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  3  9 12
33.7N  75.7W      28  2  X  X 30   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1 10 11
34.8N  75.4W      15  6  1  1 23   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  9  9
BERMUDA            X  X  X  6  6   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  9  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  1  2   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  7  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  2  3  1  6   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  8  8
CHARLESTON SC      X  7  4  1 12   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  7  7
MYRTLE BEACH SC    1 12  3  1 17   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  6  6
WILMINGTON NC      3 14  2  1 20   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC   8 11  2  1 22   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   7  9  2  2 20   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         X  4  5  5 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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