ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
SUBTROPICAL STORM GUSTAV PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 08 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE STORM CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST WED SEP 11 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.2N 74.2W 44 X X X 44 OCEAN CITY MD X X 3 9 12
33.7N 75.7W 28 2 X X 30 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 10 11
34.8N 75.4W 15 6 1 1 23 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 9 9
BERMUDA X X X 6 6 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 9 9
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 1 2 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 7 7
SAVANNAH GA X 2 3 1 6 NANTUCKET MA X X X 8 8
CHARLESTON SC X 7 4 1 12 HYANNIS MA X X X 7 7
MYRTLE BEACH SC 1 12 3 1 17 BOSTON MA X X X 6 6
WILMINGTON NC 3 14 2 1 20 PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4
MOREHEAD CITY NC 8 11 2 1 22 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 2 2
CAPE HATTERAS NC 7 9 2 2 20 YARMOUTH NS X X X 2 2
NORFOLK VA X 4 5 5 14
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
C FROM 2AM TUE TO 2PM TUE
D FROM 2PM TUE TO 2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN
Webmaster