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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 08 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST WED SEP 11 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.7N  72.7W      40  1  X  X 41   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X 10  4  2 16
32.5N  74.0W      26  1  X  1 28   CAPE HATTERAS NC   1  8  4  3 16
33.0N  75.5W       8 10  1  2 21   NORFOLK VA         X  3  4  5 12
BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4   OCEAN CITY MD      X  1  1  6  8
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  1  1  2   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  1  5  6
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  1  3   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  4  4
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  3  3  7   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC      X  2  6  3 11   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  5  6  3 14   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
WILMINGTON NC      X  7  6  2 15   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
C FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
D FROM  8AM TUE TO  8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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