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TROPICAL STORM FAY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT MON SEP  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.6N  96.5W      46  X  X  X 46   PORT O CONNOR TX  50  X  X  X 50
29.0N  97.6W      28  1  1  X 30   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  27  1  1  X 29
29.4N  98.6W      18  6  2  1 27   BROWNSVILLE TX     7  1  2  3 13
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 91W       X  1  1  1  3
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W      11  1  1  1 14
NEW IBERIA LA      1  1  1  3  6   GULF 28N 95W      99  X  X  X 99
PORT ARTHUR TX    12  2  1  1 16   GULF 27N 96W      45  X  X  X 45
GALVESTON TX      37  X  X  X 37   GULF 25N 96W       2  1  1  3  7
FREEPORT TX       52  X  X  X 52
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
C FROM  1AM SUN TO  1PM SUN
D FROM  1PM SUN TO  1PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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