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TROPICAL STORM FAY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT MON SEP  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.7N  95.4W      57  X  X  X 57   FREEPORT TX       53  X  X  X 53
29.3N  96.2W      37  1  X  X 38   PORT O CONNOR TX  34  X  X  1 35
29.9N  97.2W      24  3  1  1 29   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  12  3  2  2 19
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  2  2   BROWNSVILLE TX     1  1  2  4  8
GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
BURAS LA           X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 91W       1  1  2  2  6
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  1  3  4   GULF 28N 93W      73  X  X  X 73
NEW IBERIA LA      2  2  2  3  9   GULF 28N 95W      99  X  X  X 99
PORT ARTHUR TX    22  1  1  1 25   GULF 27N 96W      21  1  1  X 23
GALVESTON TX      47  X  X  X 47   GULF 25N 96W       X  1  2  3  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM SAT TO  1PM SAT
C FROM  1PM SAT TO  1AM SUN
D FROM  1AM SUN TO  1AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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