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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 06 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON SEP  9 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.7N  87.9W      43  X  X  X 43   NEW ORLEANS LA    14 11  1  X 26
29.6N  89.1W      25  4  X  X 29   NEW IBERIA LA      4 13  3  X 20
30.7N  90.0W      10 13  2  X 25   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  6  5  X 11
TAMPA FL           1  X  1  X  2   GALVESTON TX       X  2  5  X  7
CEDAR KEY FL       2  1  1  X  4   FREEPORT TX        X  1  3  X  4
ST MARKS FL        6  3  1  X 10   GULF 29N 85W      99  X  X  X 99
APALACHICOLA FL   46  X  X  X 46   GULF 29N 87W      53  X  X  X 53
PANAMA CITY FL    31  X  X  X 31   GULF 28N 89W      27  1  X  X 28
PENSACOLA FL      20  2  1  X 23   GULF 28N 91W      10  6  1  X 17
MOBILE AL         16  7  2  X 25   GULF 28N 93W       1  5  3  X  9
GULFPORT MS       17  9  1  X 27   GULF 28N 95W       X  1  1  X  2
BURAS LA          23  5  X  X 28
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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