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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU SEP 05 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SUN SEP  8 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.5N  85.3W      42  X  X  X 42   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  2  8  7 17
28.6N  86.4W      27  1  X  X 28   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  4 10 14
29.0N  88.0W       6 10  3  2 21   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  9  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    4  1  X  1  6   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  7  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  1  2   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  6  6
VENICE FL          3  1  X  X  4   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  4  4
TAMPA FL          99  X  X  X 99   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
CEDAR KEY FL      99  X  X  X 99   GULF 29N 85W      50  X  X  X 50
ST MARKS FL       35  X  X  X 35   GULF 29N 87W      19  4  1  1 25
APALACHICOLA FL   41  X  X  X 41   GULF 28N 89W       1  8  6  2 17
PANAMA CITY FL    30  1  X  X 31   GULF 28N 91W       X  1  6  7 14
PENSACOLA FL       8  9  3  1 21   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  9 10
MOBILE AL          1  9  7  3 20   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  6  6
GULFPORT MS        X  6  9  4 19   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
BURAS LA           X  5  9  4 18
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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