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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 04 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT SEP 7 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.9N 82.3W 51 X X X 51 CEDAR KEY FL 42 X X X 42
28.7N 83.3W 31 1 X X 32 ST MARKS FL 19 3 1 1 24
28.8N 84.5W 14 5 2 2 23 APALACHICOLA FL 8 8 3 2 21
MIAMI FL X 1 X 1 2 PANAMA CITY FL 2 9 5 3 19
W PALM BEACH FL 1 1 X 1 3 PENSACOLA FL X 1 7 8 16
FT PIERCE FL 4 2 1 X 7 MOBILE AL X X 3 10 13
COCOA BEACH FL 15 1 X 1 17 GULFPORT MS X X 1 10 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 BURAS LA X X 1 9 10
JACKSONVILLE FL 64 X X X 64 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 9 9
SAVANNAH GA 6 4 2 2 14 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 5 5
CHARLESTON SC X 2 2 3 7 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 2 3 GULF 29N 85W 8 8 3 2 21
KEY WEST FL X X 1 1 2 GULF 29N 87W X 3 7 6 16
MARCO ISLAND FL 2 3 X 2 7 GULF 28N 89W X X 2 9 11
FT MYERS FL 6 4 1 1 12 GULF 28N 91W X X X 6 6
VENICE FL 13 3 1 1 18 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
TAMPA FL 27 1 X 1 29
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
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