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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 04 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.4N 81.1W 59 X X X 59 TAMPA FL 14 4 2 1 21
29.0N 82.0W 31 1 X 1 33 CEDAR KEY FL 18 4 1 1 24
28.8N 83.2W 14 5 2 1 22 ST MARKS FL 4 9 4 2 19
MYGF 266N 787W X 1 1 1 3 APALACHICOLA FL 1 8 5 4 18
MARATHON FL X X 1 1 2 PANAMA CITY FL X 5 6 5 16
MIAMI FL X 1 2 1 4 PENSACOLA FL X X 5 8 13
W PALM BEACH FL 2 2 2 2 8 MOBILE AL X X 2 8 10
FT PIERCE FL 9 3 1 1 14 GULFPORT MS X X 1 8 9
COCOA BEACH FL 21 1 1 X 23 BURAS LA X X 1 8 9
DAYTONA BEACH FL 51 X X X 51 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 7 7
JACKSONVILLE FL 47 X X X 47 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA 13 3 2 1 19 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC 3 4 3 3 13 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 2 2 4 8 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X X 2 3 5 GULF 29N 85W 1 8 5 4 18
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 2 3 GULF 29N 87W X 1 6 7 14
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X 2 8 10
KEY WEST FL X X 1 2 3 GULF 28N 91W X X X 7 7
MARCO ISLAND FL 1 3 2 2 8 GULF 28N 93W X X X 4 4
FT MYERS FL 2 6 2 2 12 GULF 28N 95W X X X 2 2
VENICE FL 5 6 3 2 16
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
Webmaster
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