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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED SEP 04 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.1N 81.6W 46 X X X 46 VENICE FL 8 6 1 2 17
28.9N 82.7W 26 2 X 1 29 TAMPA FL 19 2 1 1 23
28.8N 83.7W 13 6 2 2 23 CEDAR KEY FL 24 1 1 1 27
MYGF 266N 787W X 1 X 1 2 ST MARKS FL 8 8 3 3 22
MARATHON FL X X 1 1 2 APALACHICOLA FL 2 9 5 4 20
MIAMI FL 1 X 1 2 4 PANAMA CITY FL X 7 6 5 18
W PALM BEACH FL 4 2 X 2 8 PENSACOLA FL X 1 4 9 14
FT PIERCE FL 15 1 X 1 17 MOBILE AL X X 2 9 11
COCOA BEACH FL 32 X X X 32 GULFPORT MS X X 1 8 9
DAYTONA BEACH FL 60 X X X 60 BURAS LA X X X 9 9
JACKSONVILLE FL 50 X X X 50 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 7 7
SAVANNAH GA 17 1 1 2 21 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 3 3
CHARLESTON SC 2 4 2 3 11 GULF 29N 85W 2 9 5 4 20
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 1 3 5 GULF 29N 87W X 1 6 8 15
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 1 2 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 9 10
KEY WEST FL X X 1 2 3 GULF 28N 91W X X X 5 5
MARCO ISLAND FL 2 3 1 3 9 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2
FT MYERS FL 5 4 2 2 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
C FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
D FROM 2AM FRI TO 2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
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