ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 02 2002
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT THU SEP 5 2002
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.2N 79.4W 99 X X X 99 WILMINGTON NC X 3 3 4 10
31.3N 79.6W 99 X X X 99 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 4 5
31.3N 80.0W 99 X X X 99 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2 NORFOLK VA X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 3 3 KEY WEST FL X X 1 5 6
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 3 6 10
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 4 4 FT MYERS FL X 1 5 5 11
MYGF 266N 787W X 2 2 5 9 VENICE FL X 1 5 6 12
MARATHON FL X X 2 4 6 TAMPA FL X 3 6 5 14
MIAMI FL X 1 3 5 9 CEDAR KEY FL X 3 7 5 15
W PALM BEACH FL X 3 4 5 12 ST MARKS FL X 1 5 7 13
FT PIERCE FL 1 5 5 3 14 APALACHICOLA FL X X 3 7 10
COCOA BEACH FL 2 8 4 3 17 PANAMA CITY FL X X 2 7 9
DAYTONA BEACH FL 4 9 4 2 19 PENSACOLA FL X X X 5 5
JACKSONVILLE FL 7 8 3 3 21 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
SAVANNAH GA 18 3 2 1 24 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
CHARLESTON SC 16 4 1 2 23 GULF 29N 85W X X 2 7 9
MYRTLE BEACH SC 4 6 3 3 16 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
C FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
D FROM 8AM WED TO 8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
Webmaster
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}