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TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON SEP 02 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU SEP  5 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.1N  80.6W      99  X  X  X 99   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  4  5
31.6N  80.6W      58  X  X  X 58   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3
32.0N  80.4W      39  X  1  X 40   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  3  3   VENICE FL          X  X  X  3  3
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  1  4  5
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  3  3   CEDAR KEY FL       1  1  2  4  8
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  4  5   ST MARKS FL        1  3  2  4 10
COCOA BEACH FL     X  1  2  4  7   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  1  4  6
DAYTONA BEACH FL  41  X  X  X 41   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  1  4  6
JACKSONVILLE FL   31  1  X  X 32   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1  3  4
SAVANNAH GA       34  X  X  1 35   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3
CHARLESTON SC     12  5  2  2 21   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    1  6  5  4 16   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  3  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  2  5  5 12   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  6  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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