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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN SEP 01 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  52.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED SEP  4 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
19.2N  53.5W      36  X  X  X 36   22.2N  54.0W       2 14  3  3 22
20.8N  53.8W      16  7  1  1 25
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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