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TROPICAL STORM DOLLY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 01 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED SEP  4 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.8N  53.4W      50  X  X  X 50   19.8N  54.9W       2 22  3  1 28
18.3N  54.5W      20 14  X  X 34
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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