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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU AUG 08 2002
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN AUG 11 2002
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
36.0N  65.0W      18  4  X  X 22   HALIFAX NS         X  4  X  X  4
40.0N  63.0W       2 16  X  X 18   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  5  X  X  5
BERMUDA           12  2  X  X 14   EDDY POINT NS      X  3  X  X  3
YARMOUTH NS        X  4  X  X  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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